The Non-Obvious Trend Report Archive
2018 Non-Obvious:
The big redesign
A major visual upgrade brought color interiors, more illustrations and updated trend icons. The edition won six major business awards and was a finalist for the American Marketing Association’s Leonard L. Berry Marketing Book Prize.
The Story Of The 2018 Report
The Backstory +
Retrospective
For this edition, I engaged a completely new team and introduced an upgraded and more visual interior design. The book incorporated more photographs and a unique color on the inside to add contrast. Some of the most popular trends from this report included Truthing, about why we trust in face-to-face interactions more than any other type; Brand Stand, on why consumers buy from brands who are unafraid to share what they believe in; Light-Speed Learning, about why we expect to learn anything faster than ever; and Manipulated Outrage, on what happens when a news media culture of outrage starts to define an individual's identity. Thanks in part to the updates, as well as submissions to many more industry book awards, the 2018 edition won six additional business book honors, including selection as a finalist for the prestigious Leonard L. Berry Marketing Book Prize from the American Marketing Association. Truthing Ungendered Enlightened Consumption Overtargeting Brand Stand Backstorytelling Manipulated Outrage Light-speed Learning Virtual Empathy Human Mode Data Pollution Predictive Protection Approachable Luxury Touchworthy Disruptive Distribution
Trend Longevity Ratings measure how well each prediction held up. Graded in 2026.
15 trends
The 2018 Trends
Trend 01 · 2018
Approachable Luxury
Luxury is no longer defined by scarcity and privilege, but rather more down-to-earth authentic human experiences that create unforgettable moments worth sharing.
Graded in 2026
Alongside luxury that was approachable was luxury that was even more out of touch, designed for the Overwealthy, as described in our 2019 prediction.
Trend 02 · 2018
Backstorytelling
(Originally curated 2013) Organizations use the power of stories to share their heritage, mission, and reason for existing with audiences. Their aim is to earn loyalty and position themselves as desirable places to work.
Graded in 2026
If there is any trend that could be described as universally important, it would be this one. Though it has been brought back over time, the idea of stories as a way for brands to stand apart continues to be an effective strategy.
Trend 03 · 2018
Brand Stand
Reacting to a polarized media atmosphere, more brands feel compelled to take a stand and highlight their core values rather than try to be all things to all people.
Graded in 2026
In the year since this trend was first predicted, there have been many examples of brands utilizing this effect to inspire belief, share their values, and grow loyalty.
Trend 04 · 2018
Data Pollution
As we create more methods for quantifying the world around us, data are manipulated, contaminated, and sabotaged, making it harder to separate true insights from useless noise.
Graded in 2026
There is no doubt the flood of data is rising, and sorting through it to find what really matters is a serious problem that even smart AI has not been able to solve.
Trend 05 · 2018
Disruptive Distribution
(Originally curated 2015) Traditional models of distribution get reinvented as businesses of all sizes seek more efficiency, build direct connections with consumers, and rethink their own business models.
Graded in 2026
This trend has exploded in recent years and is likely to impact even more industries since we first predicted it in 2015. It was also a driver for the megatrend of Flux Commerce.
Trend 06 · 2018
Enlightened Consumption
Empowered with information about products and services, people are choosing to make a statement about their values and the world through what they buy, where they work, and how they invest.
Graded in 2026
This is a critical trend to watch because of the speed with which we access to real-time information to evaluate the impact our buying has on the world.
Trend 07 · 2018
Human Mode
As automation increases, people hungry for more personal and authentic experiences begin to put a premium on advice, services, and interaction involving actual humans.
Graded in 2026
While automation grows, we will see a rise in the importance of human interactions and a continued willingness to pay a premium in order to have a real person help you in real life.
Trend 08 · 2018
Light-Speed Learning
The road to mastery on any topic gets faster through the help of bite-sized learning modules that make education more time efficient, engaging, useful, and fun.
Graded in 2026
This trend has driven real business change and positive results, and it served as one of the primary inspirations for our megatrend of Instant Knowledge.
Trend 09 · 2018
Manipulated Outrage
Media, data analytics, and advertising are combining forces to create a perpetual stream of noise that is intended to incite rage and elicit angry reactions on social media and in real life.
Graded in 2026
This trend remains sadly important because of continued manipulation by evil corporations and self-centered politicians. It's exacerbated by gullible media who help amplify the manipulation.
Trend 10 · 2018
Overtargeting
Lured by the promise of big data, organizations segment audiences too narrowly and unintentionally end up abandoning large groups of potentially lucrative customers.
Graded in 2026
While businesses frequently and unnecessarily narrow their audience, in many cases it has not raised the major issues or challenges that we initially predicted.
Trend 11 · 2018
Predictive Protection
(Originally curated 2015) Organizations create smarter connected products, services, and features that can protect our safety, health, and environment by anticipating our actions or needs.
Graded in 2026
This trend was a precursor to our megatrend of Protective Tech. It returned to the report a second time after initially appearing in the 2015 edition.
Trend 12 · 2018
Touchworthy
Overwhelmed by digital, consumers turn back toward products and experiences that they can touch, feel, and sense to deliver a much-needed sense of calm, simplicity, and humanity.
Graded in 2026
The more digital things are becoming, the more important tactile experiences are. Sometimes we just want a more real and tangible experience that we can hold.
Trend 13 · 2018
Truthing
With trust eroding in media and institutions, people are engaging in a personal quest for the truth based on direct observation and face-to-face interaction.
Graded in 2026
As distrust of the media, governments, and corporations spreads, this important trend describes a critical coping mechanism of looking inward that shows no sign of stopping.
Trend 14 · 2018
Ungendered
Shifting definitions of traditional gender roles are leading some to reject the notion of gender completely, while others aim to mask gender from products, experiences, and even their own identities.
Graded in 2026
This trend not only has grown so quickly, but also has been so culture changing and defining that we selected a slightly redefined and elevated version of it as one of our megatrends, Ungendering.
Trend 15 · 2018
Virtual Empathy
(Originally curated 2014) Immersive experiences delivered through technology and personal interactions increase empathy by helping people see the world through foreign and unfamiliar eyes.
Graded in 2026
This trend has broadened beyond virtual reality technology to include examples of installations, art projects, and live experiences that offer people ways to feel more empathy.

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